B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
RGNX
REGENXBIOCNasdaq / Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
RGX-202 remains the principal value driver, with BLA progress and potential accelerated approval, while wet AMD data could add upside. The company also reported pro forma liquidity above $310 million and runway into Q4 2027.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.9.
What can break
Binary readout risk for Q4 2026 wet AMD pivotal data.
Momentum
15
Value
41
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.00 · Bull $13.00 · Bear $4.50Analysis 2026-08-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $22.08
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d +0.6
Value41 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d +1.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Binary readout risk for Q4 2026 wet AMD pivotal data.
- • Binary regulatory and clinical risk around RGX-202 BLA progression and potential approval.
- • The RGX-121 clinical hold removes or delays a meaningful pipeline asset and the company does not expect a near-term BLA resubmission.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-24
RGX-121 FDA clinical hold and near-term BLA delay
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
15
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
+10.1
Value
41
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
74
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
+2.8
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 14.7 / Value 40.6 / Sentiment 73.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-25. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$7.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$4.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$440.97M
Beta
1.06
Shares Out
66.01M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.8
P/S (TTM)
4.21
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-1.40
Rev YoY
+405.7%
EPS YoY
-131.1%
Gross Margin
+77.6%
Op Margin
-94.1%
Net Debt
$30.45M
Current Ratio
2.86
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data