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REZI

ResideoC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 print showed record revenue, strong P&S growth, record gross margin, and adjusted EBITDA above the high end of outlook. The ADI separation may improve strategic focus and make P&S execution more visible [#SEC-8K-2026-08-12].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.2.
What can break
Analyst target count and post-print revision data are unavailable, limiting confidence in the valuation upside case.
Momentum
11
Value
54
Sentiment
71
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $20.00 · Bull $27.00 · Bear $14.00Analysis 2026-09-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $30.83
Why
Momentum11 · Δ7d +4.3
Value54 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment71 · Δ7d +7.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target count and post-print revision data are unavailable, limiting confidence in the valuation upside case.
  • • Inflationary input costs and legal settlement expenses have pressured margins despite operational improvements [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-19].
  • • The standalone entity faces a reset in reported comparability, OEM security weakness, muted housing and security demand, and continued input-cost and execution risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-09

Standalone transition after ADI spin-off

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
11
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.3
Δ21d
-7.2
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.6
Sentiment
71
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.2
Δ21d
+17.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 10.7 / Value 54.0 / Sentiment 71.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-10. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.13B
Beta
1.74
Shares Out
151.85M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-5.5
P/S (TTM)
0.73
P/FCF (TTM)
12.57
Rev YoY
+2.0%
EPS YoY
-109.2%
Gross Margin
+27.9%
Op Margin
+8.3%
Net Debt
$2.67B
Current Ratio
2.22
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data