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RDDT

RedditC
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue grew 61% to $805 million, adjusted EBITDA reached $343 million, and free cash flow reached $261 million. Sustained ad pricing and impression growth, alongside international monetization, could justify a higher valuation [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
What can break
Ad growth depends on both pricing and impressions; deterioration in either could compress growth and valuation [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
Momentum
33
Value
49
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $158.00 · Bull $195.00 · Bear $103.00Analysis 2026-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $215.37
Why
Momentum33 · Δ7d -0.7
Value49 · Δ7d +0.8
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +9.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Ad growth depends on both pricing and impressions; deterioration in either could compress growth and valuation [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
  • • Logged-out and international audience growth may not translate proportionately into monetization [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
  • • The thesis is sensitive to any slowdown against Q3 guidance, weaker advertiser returns, or failure to convert fast-growing logged-out and international audiences into durable revenue.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · AMC

Q3 results test the $860–870 million revenue outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
33
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
-0.3
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
64
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.3
Δ21d
-4.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 32.9 / Value 49.2 / Sentiment 63.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$195.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$158.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$103.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$27.75B
Beta
-
Shares Out
192.4M
P/E (TTM)
137.1
P/S (TTM)
24.28
P/FCF (TTM)
90.74
Rev YoY
+61.1%
EPS YoY
+162.2%
Gross Margin
+90.8%
Op Margin
+28.2%
Net Debt
-$2.45B
Current Ratio
10.49
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data