B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
RDDT
RedditBNYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 print confirmed exceptional growth, high gross margins, expanding profitability, strong cash generation, international momentum, and improving advertising tools. The stored analyst median target of $218.84 implies substantial upside from the $154.71 anchor, while the company’s Q3 outlook remains strong [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +14.2.
What can break
Advertising pricing, impressions, and automated-tool adoption could decelerate after an unusually strong period.
Momentum
12
Value
49
Sentiment
82
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $185.00 · Bull $235.00 · Bear $120.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $215.53
Why
Momentum12 · Δ7d +0.2
Value49 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment82 · Δ7d +14.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +14.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Advertising pricing, impressions, and automated-tool adoption could decelerate after an unusually strong period.
- • Analyst revision breadth and post-print target changes are unavailable, limiting confidence in valuation support.
- • The roughly 20% post-earnings selloff indicates that investors are discounting search volatility, slower U.S.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-30
Strong Q2 results and Q3 outlook met the operating proof point
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
12
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+0.4
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+2.8
Sentiment
82
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.2
Δ21d
+3.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 11.6 / Value 49.2 / Sentiment 82.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$185.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$120.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$31.65B
Beta
-
Shares Out
192.4M
P/E (TTM)
137.1
P/S (TTM)
24.28
P/FCF (TTM)
90.74
Rev YoY
+61.1%
EPS YoY
+162.2%
Gross Margin
+90.8%
Op Margin
+28.2%
Net Debt
-$2.45B
Current Ratio
10.49
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data