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RCL

Royal Caribbean GroupB
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The EPS beat, raised FY2026 outlook and stronger early 2027 bookings support the prior positive thesis. Jefferies raised its target to $350 from $330 after the print while retaining Buy, citing booking strength (post-print analyst report).
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-28.
What can break
Cruise demand and pricing could soften before strong early 2027 bookings convert to sailed revenue.
Momentum
81
Value
43
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $330.00 · Bull $365.00 · Bear $250.00Analysis 2026-10-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $353.92
Why
Momentum81 · Δ7d +1.6
Value43 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment70 · Δ7d -2.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-28.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cruise demand and pricing could soften before strong early 2027 bookings convert to sailed revenue.
  • • Higher expected fuel costs and currency effects partially offset the Q3 earnings benefit in FY2026 guidance [#SEC-8K-2026-10-27].
  • • Q3 nonfuel cost improvement partly reflects expense timing, while fuel and currency diluted the full-year guidance increase.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-07

Q3 beat and raised 2026 guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
81
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
+50.6
Value
43
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
70
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.0
Δ21d
-8.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 81.1 / Value 43.5 / Sentiment 69.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-28. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$365.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$330.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$250.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$79.14B
Beta
1.92
Shares Out
267.45M
P/E (TTM)
18.8
P/S (TTM)
4.38
P/FCF (TTM)
51.52
Rev YoY
+6.5%
EPS YoY
-4.4%
Gross Margin
+39.1%
Op Margin
+27.1%
Net Debt
$21.21B
Current Ratio
0.18
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data