RCAT
Red CatDNasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The bull case is that RCAT is moving from prototype-and-capacity buildout into real revenue conversion: Q1 revenue and gross margin improved sharply, management reiterated a $150 million to $180 million short-to-medium-term revenue objective, and the company is layering NATO/allied drone demand, maritime systems, swarming software, and the Quaze power asset into a broader defense autonomy platform. [#SEC-8K-2026-05-07] [#8-K-2026-05-20]
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Cash fell to $131.9 million from $167.9 million in one quarter, so continued cash burn matters if contract timing slips or working-capital needs stay elevated. [#SEC-8K-2026-05-07]
Momentum
3
Value
34
Sentiment
100
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $15.50 · Bull $21.00 · Bear $8.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-12 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $21.57
Why
Momentum3 · Δ7d -0.2
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment100 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
3
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-17.2
Value
34
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
100
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 3.3 / Value 33.9 / Sentiment 100.0
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$1.16B
Beta
1.32
Shares Out
152.19M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-10.5
P/S (TTM)
86.55
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-7.19
Rev YoY
+849.3%
EPS YoY
-18.8%
Gross Margin
+7.5%
Op Margin
-358.1%
Net Debt
-$149.43M
Current Ratio
10.99
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

