B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$110.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
RBA
RB GlobalCNYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 operating growth, Automotive performance, cost discipline, acquisitions, capital returns, and the raised 2026 outlook support a constructive view. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
News driver: Fast Money Bets on November RBA Hike in Fight Against Inflation.
What can break
ACVA and LQDT offer closer marketplace references, but their business mixes still differ from RB Global's combined vehicle and industrial-auction platform.
Momentum
5
Value
52
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $98.00 · Bull $110.00 · Bear $82.00Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $131.00
Why
Momentum5 · Δ7d +1.4
Value52 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment73 · Δ7d +9.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • News driver: Fast Money Bets on November RBA Hike in Fight Against Inflation.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • ACVA and LQDT offer closer marketplace references, but their business mixes still differ from RB Global's combined vehicle and industrial-auction platform.
- • BigIron integration and acquisition execution could dilute expected benefits.
- • Service-revenue take rate declined to 20.0% from 21.1% year over year, while BigIron integration and execution remain risks.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-21
Dividend increase and Q2 share repurchase
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
5
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.4
Δ21d
+0.6
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
73
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.1
Δ21d
+8.8
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 4.9 / Value 52.1 / Sentiment 73.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$15.21B
Beta
0.16
Shares Out
185.14M
P/E (TTM)
49.9
P/S (TTM)
4.29
P/FCF (TTM)
68.38
Rev YoY
+11.1%
EPS YoY
+32.5%
Gross Margin
+35.1%
Op Margin
+17.8%
Net Debt
$3.49B
Current Ratio
1.31
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data