B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$110.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
RBA
RB GlobalBNYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 operating growth, Automotive performance, cost discipline, acquisitions, capital returns, and the raised 2026 outlook support a constructive view. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -9.9.
What can break
ACVA and LQDT offer closer marketplace references, but their business mixes still differ from RB Global's combined vehicle and industrial-auction platform.
Momentum
19
Value
51
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $98.00 · Bull $110.00 · Bear $82.00Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-27
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $129.80
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d -9.9
Value51 · Δ7d -1.1
Sentiment76 · Δ7d -9.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -9.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • ACVA and LQDT offer closer marketplace references, but their business mixes still differ from RB Global's combined vehicle and industrial-auction platform.
- • BigIron integration and acquisition execution could dilute expected benefits.
- • Service-revenue take rate declined to 20.0% from 21.1% year over year, while BigIron integration and execution remain risks.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-21
Dividend increase and Q2 share repurchase
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
19
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.9
Δ21d
-3.7
Value
51
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
76
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.9
Δ21d
-15.7
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 19.4 / Value 51.2 / Sentiment 76.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$15.74B
Beta
0.16
Shares Out
185.14M
P/E (TTM)
49.9
P/S (TTM)
4.29
P/FCF (TTM)
68.38
Rev YoY
+11.1%
EPS YoY
+32.5%
Gross Margin
+35.1%
Op Margin
+17.8%
Net Debt
$3.49B
Current Ratio
1.31
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data