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R

Ryder SystemA
NYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 comparable EPS increased 12% year over year, Fleet Management Solutions earnings rose 20%, contractual sales activity remained strong, and the transformed business model could benefit from a freight-cycle upturn. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.8.
What can break
A deterioration in used-vehicle prices or rental demand could reduce Fleet Management Solutions earnings.
Momentum
48
Value
65
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $265.00 · Bull $300.00 · Bear $220.00Analysis 2026-08-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $299.56
Why
Momentum48 · Δ7d -10.4
Value65 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d +4.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A deterioration in used-vehicle prices or rental demand could reduce Fleet Management Solutions earnings.
  • • Analyst revisions, options positioning, short interest, employee sentiment, and social sentiment are unavailable in the packet.
  • • The thesis remains exposed to margin pressure in Dedicated and Supply Chain, weak rental demand, used-vehicle pricing reversal, slower contract ramp-ups, and execution risk around strategic initiatives.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

FY2026 EPS guidance execution

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
48
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.4
Δ21d
+8.4
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+2.1
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.8
Δ21d
-4.5
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 48.0 / Value 65.3 / Sentiment 73.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$300.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$265.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$10.15B
Beta
0.96
Shares Out
38.35M
P/E (TTM)
15.9
P/S (TTM)
0.60
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
19.41
Rev YoY
+5.0%
EPS YoY
+9.2%
Gross Margin
+19.3%
Op Margin
+8.2%
Net Debt
$8.48B
Current Ratio
0.65
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data