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R

Ryder SystemA
NYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Higher Fleet Management Solutions earnings, stronger used-vehicle pricing and rental utilization, and the raised 2026 comparable EPS outlook support a positive thesis. Stephens raised its target to $305 from $280 while retaining Overweight, citing the earnings beat and cyclical traction.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.8.
What can break
Fourth-quarter and full-year GAAP EPS guidance includes approximately $4.30 per share of estimated non-cash pension settlement charges, complicating headline comparisons. Ryder release
Momentum
68
Value
63
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $285.00 · Bull $315.00 · Bear $225.00Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $288.33
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d +2.8
Value63 · Δ7d -1.8
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -0.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Fourth-quarter and full-year GAAP EPS guidance includes approximately $4.30 per share of estimated non-cash pension settlement charges, complicating headline comparisons. Ryder release
  • • Supply Chain Solutions faces automotive business losses and new-business ramp productivity costs; Dedicated Transportation Solutions operating revenue declined 1% year over year. Ryder release
  • • The full-year free-cash-flow outlook remained $700 million–$800 million despite the EPS raise.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-22

Third-quarter beat and higher 2026 outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
68
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+2.8
Δ21d
+10.3
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
-2.5
Sentiment
59
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-8.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 68.1 / Value 63.3 / Sentiment 58.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$315.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$285.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$225.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$10.39B
Beta
0.96
Shares Out
38.35M
P/E (TTM)
15.9
P/S (TTM)
0.60
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
19.86
Rev YoY
+5.0%
EPS YoY
+9.2%
Gross Margin
+19.3%
Op Margin
+8.2%
Net Debt
$8.48B
Current Ratio
0.65
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data