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QNST

QuinStreetA
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record revenue, rapid adjusted EBITDA growth, substantial margin expansion, positive cash generation, and above-trend fiscal Q1 guidance support continued earnings compounding if Financial Services and Home Services demand persists. The deterministic prior is positive, with strong evidence quality.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-11.
What can break
CFO Gregory Wong and director Asmau Ahmed reported open-market sales after the earnings release; these transactions are a sentiment flag rather than evidence about operating performance. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-18]
Momentum
90
Value
59
Sentiment
87
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $22.40 · Bull $26.00 · Bear $14.50Analysis 2026-09-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $22.40
Why
Momentum90 · Δ7d -2.2
Value59 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment87 · Δ7d +2.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-11.
  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • CFO Gregory Wong and director Asmau Ahmed reported open-market sales after the earnings release; these transactions are a sentiment flag rather than evidence about operating performance. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-18]
  • Direct-peer comparability is weak, and unavailable analyst revision data limits confidence in the valuation and post-print consensus assessment.
  • The shares have fallen from the $20.78 level cited in stored post-earnings coverage to the $18.03 anchor, indicating that the initial positive reaction has not fully held.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Record FY2026 results establish a stronger earnings base

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
90
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.2
Δ21d
-3.8
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+4.6
Sentiment
87
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.7
Δ21d
+18.9
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 90.4 / Value 58.6 / Sentiment 87.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$22.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.16B
Beta
0.70
Shares Out
57.45M
P/E (TTM)
80.9
P/S (TTM)
0.75
P/FCF (TTM)
7.85
Rev YoY
+42.7%
EPS YoY
+500.0%
Gross Margin
+11.3%
Op Margin
+3.2%
Net Debt
-$53.41M
Current Ratio
1.22
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data