B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$820.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PWR
Quanta ServicesCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is straightforward: Quanta delivered a clear Q1 beat, lifted substantially all 2026 financial expectations, showed record backlog/RPO, and reiterated strong utility and large-load demand tied to data centers and electrification. That combination supports further estimate revisions if execution remains clean.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-11.
What can break
Acquisition integration and capital deployment need to stay disciplined to preserve the long-duration compounding case.
Momentum
49
Value
48
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $680.00 · Bull $820.00 · Bear $560.00Analysis 2026-05-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $797.58
Why
Momentum49 · Δ7d -5.5
Value48 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment69 · Δ7d -8.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-11.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -8.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Acquisition integration and capital deployment need to stay disciplined to preserve the long-duration compounding case.
- • Fixed-price contract execution risk can pressure profitability if costs or schedules move against expectations.
- • The bear case is that the stock already absorbed much of the good news in a sharp post-print move, leaving less room for upside if project timing, permitting, weather, labor availability or fixed-price execution create even modest friction.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-30
Q1 beat, raised 2026 outlook, and record backlog reset the operating baseline
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
49
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-5.5
Δ21d
-4.6
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.7
Sentiment
69
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.3
Δ21d
-2.4
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 48.8 / Value 48.1 / Sentiment 69.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$680.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$560.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$108.59B
Beta
1.15
Shares Out
150.34M
P/E (TTM)
64.6
P/S (TTM)
2.39
P/FCF (TTM)
54.47
Rev YoY
+41.1%
EPS YoY
+94.9%
Gross Margin
+13.7%
Op Margin
+6.4%
Net Debt
$5.98B
Current Ratio
1.10
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data