B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$17.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PSO
PearsonCNYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Pearson enters 2026 with visible momentum, a fresh £350m buyback, and management still pointing to mid-single digit sales growth with segment-level support from Virtual Learning, Higher Ed mix, and ELL/PTE recovery [#PR-2026-02-27] [#6K-2026-01-14].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.3.
What can break
Assessment & Qualifications could underperform longer than guided if New Jersey and PDRI pressures persist.
Momentum
55
Value
67
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $15.30 · Bull $17.00 · Bear $12.40Analysis 2026-04-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $16.94
Why
Momentum55 · Δ7d +4.9
Value67 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment56 · Δ7d +5.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Assessment & Qualifications could underperform longer than guided if New Jersey and PDRI pressures persist.
- • Execution risk remains around converting partnerships and AI/product initiatives into durable revenue acceleration.
- • Evidence quality is still weak: the packet started with no primary notes, the peer set is loose, and management also flagged real near-term headwinds from New Jersey contract loss, PDRI softness, FX pressure, and only modest reported 2025 growth.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-17
Next results need to validate 2026 guide despite Q1 drag
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
55
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.9
Δ21d
+1.2
Value
67
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+8.9
Sentiment
56
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.3
Δ21d
+1.9
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 55.4 / Value 67.2 / Sentiment 56.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-18. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$15.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$12.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$9.71B
Beta
0.40
Shares Out
598.75M
P/E (TTM)
16.0
P/S (TTM)
1.88
P/FCF (TTM)
14.47
Rev YoY
-1.8%
EPS YoY
+7.1%
Gross Margin
+52.0%
Op Margin
+14.5%
Net Debt
$1.54B
Current Ratio
2.00
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data