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PSO

PearsonC
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Pearson enters 2026 with visible momentum, a fresh £350m buyback, and management still pointing to mid-single digit sales growth with segment-level support from Virtual Learning, Higher Ed mix, and ELL/PTE recovery [#PR-2026-02-27] [#6K-2026-01-14].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Assessment & Qualifications could underperform longer than guided if New Jersey and PDRI pressures persist.
Momentum
89
Value
64
Sentiment
35
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $15.30 · Bull $17.00 · Bear $12.40Analysis 2026-04-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $17.00
Why
Momentum89 · Δ7d +1.9
Value64 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment35 · Δ7d -0.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Assessment & Qualifications could underperform longer than guided if New Jersey and PDRI pressures persist.
  • • Execution risk remains around converting partnerships and AI/product initiatives into durable revenue acceleration.
  • • Evidence quality is still weak: the packet started with no primary notes, the peer set is loose, and management also flagged real near-term headwinds from New Jersey contract loss, PDRI softness, FX pressure, and only modest reported 2025 growth.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-17

Next results need to validate 2026 guide despite Q1 drag

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
89
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
+10.4
Value
64
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-1.7
Sentiment
35
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
-19.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 89.0 / Value 63.6 / Sentiment 35.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-18. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$17.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$15.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$12.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$10.96B
Beta
0.40
Shares Out
599.15M
P/E (TTM)
16.0
P/S (TTM)
1.88
P/FCF (TTM)
14.47
Rev YoY
-1.8%
EPS YoY
+7.1%
Gross Margin
+52.0%
Op Margin
+14.5%
Net Debt
$1.54B
Current Ratio
2.00
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data