B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PRM
Perimeter SolutionsDNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The best post-earnings read is that PRM delivered a genuinely strong Q1: sales and EBITDA grew sharply, Fire Safety and Specialty Products both improved, and two new five-year government agreements add commercial support heading into fire season. If wildfire demand and contract conversion remain favorable, the current price can still leave room for moderate upside.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.8.
What can break
Analyst revision breadth, consensus surprise detail, and guidance-change evidence were not available in the checked packet and primary-source review, limiting confidence in how durable the post-earnings signal will be over the next several weeks.
Momentum
17
Value
42
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $30.00 · Bull $33.00 · Bear $25.00Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $43.75
Why
Momentum17 · Δ7d +2.2
Value42 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -0.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst revision breadth, consensus surprise detail, and guidance-change evidence were not available in the checked packet and primary-source review, limiting confidence in how durable the post-earnings signal will be over the next several weeks.
- • Financing for MMT increased balance-sheet sensitivity; the 10-Q shows $550.0 million of 6.250% senior secured notes due 2034 and Q1 interest expense of $24.4 million versus $9.6 million in the prior-year quarter. [#10-Q-2026-05-06]
- • The more cautious read is that Q1 strength was heavily acquisition-assisted and may already be largely understood.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-31
Q1 earnings beat and April contract wins need fuller post-print digestion
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
17
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.2
Δ21d
-24.5
Value
42
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-3.2
Sentiment
59
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
+1.1
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 16.7 / Value 42.0 / Sentiment 59.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$25.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.33B
Beta
1.97
Shares Out
163.69M
P/E (TTM)
54.9
P/S (TTM)
6.45
P/FCF (TTM)
24.24
Rev YoY
+31.5%
EPS YoY
+408.2%
Gross Margin
+44.5%
Op Margin
-50.6%
Net Debt
$498.36M
Current Ratio
1.57
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data