B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$90.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
POST
PostBNYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Delivery against fiscal 2026 EBITDA guidance and stabilization of pet-food and cereal volumes could improve confidence in earnings durability. Post also reported $490.7 million remaining under its repurchase authorization as of August 5, 2026, though authorization does not guarantee purchases.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Chairman emeritus William P. Stiritz reported open-market sales on September 1–2; these are insider-activity data, not evidence of operating performance. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-03] SEC Form 4
Momentum
35
Value
68
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $77.00 · Bull $90.00 · Bear $62.00Analysis 2026-10-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $98.67
Why
Momentum35 · Δ7d +2.5
Value68 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -2.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Chairman emeritus William P. Stiritz reported open-market sales on September 1–2; these are insider-activity data, not evidence of operating performance. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-03] SEC Form 4
- • Fiscal Q3 net interest expense rose to $108.2 million from $88.5 million, adding financing pressure. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06] SEC earnings exhibit
- • Fiscal Q3 gross margin declined to 29.1% from 30.0%, operating profit fell 19.3%, and management's preliminary fiscal 2027 comparable EBITDA view was generally flat.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-30
Fiscal 2026 results test narrowed EBITDA outlook
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
35
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.5
Δ21d
+6.4
Value
68
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.5
Δ21d
-26.7
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 35.5 / Value 68.1 / Sentiment 50.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-11. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$77.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$62.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$3.54B
Beta
0.45
Shares Out
43.96M
P/E (TTM)
17.7
P/S (TTM)
0.61
P/FCF (TTM)
10.24
Rev YoY
-1.8%
EPS YoY
-27.9%
Gross Margin
+26.3%
Op Margin
+10.3%
Net Debt
$7.52B
Current Ratio
1.85
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data