RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

PODC

PodcastOneC
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Primary sources support a still-positive but speculative setup: management raised FY2026 guidance after a content/IP monetization event and renewed a meaningful A+E content relationship, giving PODC a credible path to better revenue and EBITDA if execution persists [#IR-2026-02-13] [#IR-2026-03-19].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Forward-looking statements in company materials still flag going-concern, content acquisition, listener growth, and LiveOne-related risks [#IR-2026-02-13].
Momentum
76
Value
41
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $2.60 · Bull $3.40 · Bear $1.40Analysis 2026-04-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $5.67
Why
Momentum76 · Δ7d -
Value41 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment63 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Forward-looking statements in company materials still flag going-concern, content acquisition, listener growth, and LiveOne-related risks [#IR-2026-02-13].
  • • Guidance raise may rely partly on less-repeatable IP monetization rather than purely recurring demand [#IR-2026-02-13].
  • • The guidance raise appears tied in part to select original IP monetization rather than purely recurring core growth, the company remains small and low coverage, and the April 2026 equity-plan increase keeps dilution risk visible [#IR-2026-02-13] [#8-K-2026-04-10].

Catalyst clock

2026-07-16

FY2026 results must validate the February guidance raise

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
76
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
41
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.9
Sentiment
63
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 75.8 / Value 40.6 / Sentiment 63.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$2.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$1.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$85.62M
Beta
-
Shares Out
30.25M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-28.5
P/S (TTM)
1.14
P/FCF (TTM)
46.78
Rev YoY
+7.5%
EPS YoY
+23.8%
Gross Margin
+11.8%
Op Margin
-5.0%
Net Debt
-$3.34M
Current Ratio
1.05
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data