B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
PNW
Pinnacle West CapitalDNYSE / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull assumes favorable ACC rulings, allowed recovery of decarbonization capex in rates, and an operational beat at the February results that supports modest multiple expansion toward the analyst high.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.6.
What can break
Adverse Arizona Corporation Commission rulings or disallowed costs
Momentum
39
Value
50
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $95.00 · Bull $112.00 · Bear $87.00Analysis 2026-02-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $106.45
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d -5.7
Value50 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment53 · Δ7d +5.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adverse Arizona Corporation Commission rulings or disallowed costs
- • Material miss or weak guidance at Feb 25, 2026 earnings
- • Bear assumes adverse regulatory outcomes (lower allowed ROE or disallowed costs), weak guidance or material write‑offs at the earnings release, and continued high rates that compress utility multiples toward the analyst low.
Catalyst clock
2026-02-25
Q4 2025 / Full‑Year 2025 Earnings release and webcast
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
39
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.7
Δ21d
+12.0
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.6
Sentiment
53
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.6
Δ21d
+4.7
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 39.3 / Value 50.4 / Sentiment 52.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-06. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$87.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$12.17B
Beta
0.53
Shares Out
121.2M
P/E (TTM)
18.0
P/S (TTM)
1.98
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-9.47
Rev YoY
+7.1%
EPS YoY
-9.2%
Gross Margin
+27.7%
Op Margin
+23.2%
Net Debt
$14.29B
Current Ratio
0.59
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data