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PNR

PentairB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Pool weakness may be a temporary channel reset rather than a structural demand break. Flow and Water Solutions provide partial diversification, while Taco could expand Pentair's water-solutions exposure if the acquisition closes and integrates well.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.8.
What can break
2026 sales and earnings remain pressured; adjusted EPS guidance was reaffirmed while GAAP EPS guidance was reduced [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
Momentum
15
Value
65
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $62.00 · Bull $75.00 · Bear $48.00Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $75.08
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d -5.2
Value65 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment73 · Δ7d +11.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • 2026 sales and earnings remain pressured; adjusted EPS guidance was reaffirmed while GAAP EPS guidance was reduced [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
  • • Pool-channel destocking may last longer or reflect weaker end-market demand than management expects.
  • • The Q2 print showed a severe Pool contraction, a roughly $170 million destock, lower earnings, and revised GAAP guidance.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-08

Taco acquisition financing and closing

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
15
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.2
Δ21d
+4.3
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
73
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.8
Δ21d
+13.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 15.4 / Value 65.3 / Sentiment 72.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$75.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$62.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$10.23B
Beta
1.22
Shares Out
159.64M
P/E (TTM)
26.0
P/S (TTM)
4.07
P/FCF (TTM)
27.04
Rev YoY
-17.0%
EPS YoY
-11.2%
Gross Margin
+41.3%
Op Margin
+21.8%
Net Debt
$1.66B
Current Ratio
1.45
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data