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PMTS

CPI Card GroupA
Nasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Second-quarter revenue growth, raised full-year revenue and free-cash-flow guidance, and first-half operating cash flow of $42 million support a cautiously positive view if execution persists. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Failure to deliver the raised $45 million–$50 million free-cash-flow outlook would weaken the deleveraging case. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Momentum
87
Value
70
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $30.00 · Bull $36.00 · Bear $19.00Analysis 2026-10-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $32.50
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d +12.9
Value70 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment55 · Δ7d +0.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Failure to deliver the raised $45 million–$50 million free-cash-flow outlook would weaken the deleveraging case. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • Low analyst coverage and a loose peer set increase valuation uncertainty.
  • • Uneven higher-margin prepaid demand, continued Integrated Paytech investment, and a tariff-refund benefit could limit EBITDA conversion despite revenue growth.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-04

Third-quarter results test the raised outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
87
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+12.9
Δ21d
+12.6
Value
70
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
55
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-12.4
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 87.1 / Value 70.4 / Sentiment 55.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$311.71M
Beta
1.29
Shares Out
11.59M
P/E (TTM)
11.7
P/S (TTM)
0.31
P/FCF (TTM)
5.76
Rev YoY
+15.0%
EPS YoY
+290.3%
Gross Margin
+31.4%
Op Margin
+9.2%
Net Debt
$315.77M
Current Ratio
2.09
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data