B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PMTS
CPI Card GroupBNasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 beat, raised revenue and free-cash-flow guidance, strong Secure Card Solutions performance, and improving leverage support a constructive thesis if demand remains durable.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.3.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA guidance remains only low-to-mid single-digit growth as investments continue.
Momentum
98
Value
70
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $30.00 · Bull $35.00 · Bear $22.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $32.50
Why
Momentum98 · Δ7d -0.4
Value70 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment56 · Δ7d +6.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted EBITDA guidance remains only low-to-mid single-digit growth as investments continue.
- • Analyst coverage is limited and post-print estimate or target revisions are unavailable.
- • The strong initial reaction may have discounted much of the earnings improvement.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-06
Q2 beat and raised 2026 guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
98
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-
Value
70
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
56
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.3
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 98.1 / Value 70.5 / Sentiment 55.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$330.93M
Beta
1.29
Shares Out
11.53M
P/E (TTM)
11.7
P/S (TTM)
0.31
P/FCF (TTM)
5.76
Rev YoY
+15.0%
EPS YoY
+290.3%
Gross Margin
+31.4%
Op Margin
+9.2%
Net Debt
$315.77M
Current Ratio
2.09
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data