B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$270.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PLXS
PlexusDNasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The post-print bull case is straightforward: Q2 beat prior company guidance on revenue and non-GAAP EPS, Q3 guidance stepped higher again, cash-cycle performance improved to 64 days from 69 days in Q1, and record program wins reinforce management's claim that growth is being driven by real ramps and share gains rather than a one-quarter spike. [#8-K-2026-04-29]
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.9.
What can break
Fiscal 2026 free-cash-flow outlook was reduced to $50 million to $75 million, indicating working-capital demands remain elevated even with stronger revenue. [#8-K-2026-04-29]
Momentum
42
Value
51
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $235.00 · Bull $270.00 · Bear $205.00Analysis 2026-04-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-14 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-14
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-14
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-14. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $305.75
Why
Momentum42 · Δ7d +8.8
Value51 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -6.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Fiscal 2026 free-cash-flow outlook was reduced to $50 million to $75 million, indicating working-capital demands remain elevated even with stronger revenue. [#8-K-2026-04-29]
- • New program wins may not convert to expected revenue or profitability on time, particularly in complex regulated and aerospace programs where start-up costs and execution matter. [#8-K-2026-04-29] [#10-K-2025-11-14]
- • The bear case is that much of the operating improvement is already reflected in the stock, while the reduced fiscal 2026 free-cash-flow outlook, higher customer concentration, and CFO transition leave little room for execution slippage.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-30
Q2 beat and Q3 guide reset the near-term bar higher
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
42
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+8.8
Δ21d
+6.6
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Sentiment
55
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.9
Δ21d
-7.1
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 42.5 / Value 50.7 / Sentiment 54.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$205.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$7.31B
Beta
0.80
Shares Out
26.65M
P/E (TTM)
24.5
P/S (TTM)
1.02
P/FCF (TTM)
26.70
Rev YoY
+28.1%
EPS YoY
-3.9%
Gross Margin
+9.6%
Op Margin
+4.5%
Net Debt
-$131.3M
Current Ratio
1.49
As of 2026-09-14 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data