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PLUG

Plug PowerB
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 showed meaningful sequential improvement in gross margin, operating expenses, and cash usage, while management raised 2026 revenue-growth guidance and retained a Q4 positive-EBITDAS target. Recurring material-handling revenue and project conversion are potential upside drivers.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Analyst revision, options, short-interest, employee-rating, and social-coverage data are unavailable.
Momentum
93
Value
34
Sentiment
71
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $2.35 · Bull $3.50 · Bear $1.25Analysis 2026-09-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $3.49
Why
Momentum93 · Δ7d -
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment71 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Analyst revision, options, short-interest, employee-rating, and social-coverage data are unavailable.
  • Continued cash burn or delays in asset monetization and project closings could pressure liquidity.
  • Plug remains loss-making and cash-consuming, and the thesis depends on continued margin gains, successful liquidity transactions, backlog conversion, and achieving positive EBITDAS in Q4.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-10

Q2 operating improvement and raised 2026 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
93
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
34
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
71
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 92.9 / Value 34.2 / Sentiment 71.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$3.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$2.35
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.19B
Beta
1.87
Shares Out
1.4B
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.6
P/S (TTM)
4.88
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-5.43
Rev YoY
+2.5%
EPS YoY
-32.9%
Gross Margin
-18.5%
Op Margin
-67.5%
Net Debt
$441.89M
Current Ratio
2.32
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data