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PLTR

PalantirB
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes continued high-margin revenue growth from government and commercial deals, successful upsells across large accounts, and multiple expansion as market adoption increases; under this view PLTR could reach the analyst high ($255) driven by accelerated ARR and improved margins [#SERP-8].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
8 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Concentration in government contracts and related policy/regulatory risk
Momentum
88
Value
47
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
8 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $189.89 · Bull $255.00 · Bear $50.00Analysis 2026-01-31; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $201.23
Why
Momentum88 · Δ7d -7.9
Value47 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment69 · Δ7d +2.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 8 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Concentration in government contracts and related policy/regulatory risk
  • • Contract timing and renewal risk
  • • Bear case centers on slower commercial adoption, contract timing and renewal risk, or margin pressure from scaling sales/engineering costs; under this scenario the market could re-rate toward the consensus low (~$50) if growth visibility deteriorates or large deals slip [#SERP-2].

Catalyst clock

2026-05-01

Q4 / Full‑Year 2025 earnings release (estimated)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
88
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.9
Δ21d
-3.8
Value
47
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
69
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.7
Δ21d
+3.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 87.8 / Value 46.8 / Sentiment 68.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-31. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$255.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$189.89
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$414.65B
Beta
1.64
Shares Out
2.4B
P/E (TTM)
407.1
P/S (TTM)
106.42
P/FCF (TTM)
231.15
Rev YoY
+92.8%
EPS YoY
+221.6%
Gross Margin
+84.8%
Op Margin
+42.8%
Net Debt
-$6.95B
Current Ratio
7.23
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data