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PLAY

Dave Buster's EntertainmentD
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Management reported improving sales trends in July and early fiscal Q3, growth in food-and-beverage and special-events sales, remodels outperforming the system, and positive first-half adjusted free cash flow. A credible traffic and margin recovery could produce substantial upside from the depressed share price.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.9.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA fell to $98.9 million from $129.8 million, exposing significant operating leverage and margin risk.
Momentum
11
Value
48
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.50 · Bull $11.00 · Bear $4.00Analysis 2026-09-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.43
Why
Momentum11 · Δ7d +4.7
Value48 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +9.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adjusted EBITDA fell to $98.9 million from $129.8 million, exposing significant operating leverage and margin risk.
  • • Comparable-store sales remain negative, and early fiscal Q3 improvement may not develop into a durable traffic recovery.
  • • The quarter showed broad deterioration: lower revenue and comparable sales, a swing to an adjusted loss, and an approximately 24% year-over-year decline in adjusted EBITDA.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Next-quarter proof point for the traffic recovery

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
11
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.7
Δ21d
+8.2
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.9
Δ21d
-11.3
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 10.6 / Value 47.9 / Sentiment 58.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$11.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
40%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$4.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$242.42M
Beta
1.78
Shares Out
34.83M
P/E (TTM)
51.6
P/S (TTM)
0.28
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-7.37
Rev YoY
-1.5%
EPS YoY
-73.5%
Gross Margin
+11.7%
Op Margin
+6.0%
Net Debt
$3.55B
Current Ratio
0.29
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data