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PKOH

Park-OhioD
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q1 showed broad-based revenue growth, margin expansion, and stronger Engineered Products backlog, while management sees backlog conversion, new business, and operating leverage driving 2026; the SSP review adds an additional value-unlock angle.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.
What can break
Broader industrial demand, pricing pressure, supply-chain/logistics issues, and raw-material volatility can offset backlog-led gains.
Momentum
96
Value
60
Sentiment
31
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $34.00 · Bull $40.00 · Bear $25.00Analysis 2026-05-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $54.00
Why
Momentum96 · Δ7d -0.3
Value60 · Δ7d +0.5
Sentiment31 · Δ7d +6.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Broader industrial demand, pricing pressure, supply-chain/logistics issues, and raw-material volatility can offset backlog-led gains.
  • • Low analyst coverage leaves the re-rating path dependent on company execution rather than a broad estimate revision cycle.
  • • Visibility is still limited: the SSP process has no timetable or guaranteed outcome, the business remains exposed to cyclical end markets and restructuring noise, and thin coverage makes post-print follow-through hard to underwrite.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-06

Q1 2026 results and FY2026 outlook reaffirmation

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
96
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
+0.6
Value
60
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
31
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.1
Δ21d
+5.0
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 96.1 / Value 59.7 / Sentiment 31.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-19. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$25.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$621.04M
Beta
1.15
Shares Out
14.49M
P/E (TTM)
10.2
P/S (TTM)
0.19
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
49.97
Rev YoY
+10.0%
EPS YoY
+29.3%
Gross Margin
+17.3%
Op Margin
+5.3%
Net Debt
$625.5M
Current Ratio
2.40
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data