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PKG

Packaging of AmericaB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The dated Q2 release beat company guidance, and stored earnings-call context points to strong corrugated demand, Q3 price realization and better-than-expected Greif integration. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-24]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Analyst target and estimate revisions remain unavailable, limiting post-print validation.
Momentum
31
Value
52
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $260.00 · Bull $280.00 · Bear $225.00Analysis 2026-07-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $270.89
Why
Momentum31 · Δ7d -17.9
Value52 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment70 · Δ7d +6.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target and estimate revisions remain unavailable, limiting post-print validation.
  • • Freight, recycled fiber, labor, corporate and other costs may offset price realization.
  • • Adjusted EPS declined year over year as legacy earnings faced freight, labor, fiber, corporate and other cost pressure.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-22

Dated Q2 release beat company guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
31
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-17.9
Δ21d
-43.6
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
70
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.7
Δ21d
+13.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 30.9 / Value 51.8 / Sentiment 70.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$280.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$260.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$225.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$22.54B
Beta
0.89
Shares Out
89.1M
P/E (TTM)
21.3
P/S (TTM)
2.17
P/FCF (TTM)
69.43
Rev YoY
+14.7%
EPS YoY
-19.8%
Gross Margin
+20.1%
Op Margin
+12.6%
Net Debt
$3.76B
Current Ratio
2.94
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data