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PKG

Packaging of AmericaB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 adjusted EPS exceeded company guidance as packaging price and mix and Greif earnings improved. Further price realization could support the Q4 outlook despite scheduled outages.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Facility-closure, integration, fire and Wallula restructuring costs affected reported Q3 earnings. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]
Momentum
71
Value
51
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $250.00 · Bull $280.00 · Bear $205.00Analysis 2026-10-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $274.88
Why
Momentum71 · Δ7d -3.6
Value51 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -9.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -9.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Facility-closure, integration, fire and Wallula restructuring costs affected reported Q3 earnings. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]
  • • Legacy corrugated shipments fell 0.5% year over year in Q3 despite total shipments rising with acquired operations. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]
  • • Legacy corrugated shipments declined, while management flagged higher outage, freight, fiber, chemical and energy costs for Q4.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-22

Q3 earnings beat, with demand caveats

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
71
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.6
Δ21d
-2.2
Value
51
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.5
Δ21d
-22.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 71.0 / Value 51.0 / Sentiment 57.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-22. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$280.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$250.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$205.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$22.03B
Beta
0.89
Shares Out
89.1M
P/E (TTM)
21.3
P/S (TTM)
2.17
P/FCF (TTM)
69.43
Rev YoY
+14.7%
EPS YoY
-19.8%
Gross Margin
+20.1%
Op Margin
+12.6%
Net Debt
$3.76B
Current Ratio
2.94
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data