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PKE

Park AerospaceD
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
If Park Aerospace leverages improved aerospace OEM production, sustains margin expansion, and receives constructive analyst revisions, shares could re-rate toward the bull target driven by growth and multiple expansion.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.8.
What can break
Analyst downgrades or target cuts
Momentum
22
Value
46
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $26.01 · Bull $33.15 · Bear $19.13Analysis 2026-01-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $42.50
Why
Momentum22 · Δ7d -9.7
Value46 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment57 · Δ7d +2.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst downgrades or target cuts
  • • Customer concentration and order timing
  • • If end-market aerospace demand softens, raw-material cost pressure persists, or analysts cut targets materially (several low/outlier targets exist), downside toward the bear target is plausible.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-15

Q4 / FY Earnings Release

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
22
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.7
Δ21d
-26.3
Value
46
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
57
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.8
Δ21d
+12.2
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 21.7 / Value 45.6 / Sentiment 56.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$33.15
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$26.01
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$19.13
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$582.29M
Beta
0.32
Shares Out
22.03M
P/E (TTM)
60.8
P/S (TTM)
7.01
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
662.41
Rev YoY
+18.9%
EPS YoY
+59.7%
Gross Margin
+31.9%
Op Margin
+19.8%
Net Debt
-$89.05M
Current Ratio
15.29
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data