B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PHR
PhreesiaCNYSE / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow improved while management maintained fiscal 2027 guidance. Sustained client growth, restructuring savings and product commercialization could support a rerating.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Fiscal 2027 guidance assumes approximately $37 million of AccessOne revenue, creating integration and contribution risk. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-02]
Momentum
86
Value
61
Sentiment
42
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $11.00 · Bull $14.00 · Bear $7.00Analysis 2026-09-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-28
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.93
Why
Momentum86 · Δ7d +30.4
Value61 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment42 · Δ7d -1.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Fiscal 2027 guidance assumes approximately $37 million of AccessOne revenue, creating integration and contribution risk. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-02]
- • Management cited greater variability in network-solutions revenue forecasting, particularly in the fiscal second half. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-02]
- • Revenue growth slowed from 13% in Q1 to 10% in Q2, and management specifically warned of network-solutions forecasting variability.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-31
Fiscal 2027 outlook tests network-solutions visibility
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
86
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+30.4
Δ21d
+66.0
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-2.1
Sentiment
42
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
-25.5
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 86.2 / Value 61.0 / Sentiment 42.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-24. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$11.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$762.85M
Beta
0.66
Shares Out
62.07M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
318.4
P/S (TTM)
2.23
P/FCF (TTM)
29.41
Rev YoY
+12.9%
EPS YoY
-172.0%
Gross Margin
+60.8%
Op Margin
+2.6%
Net Debt
$28.62M
Current Ratio
1.75
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data