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PHIN

PHINIAA
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 sales growth, program wins and aftermarket expansion provide a path to growth if margins recover and stoba integration delivers benefits. The October 29 results are the first near-term test.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
What can break
Q2 adjusted EBITDA margin fell 40 basis points year over year to 13.8% amid higher employee costs and unfavorable product mix. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Momentum
34
Value
66
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $61.00 · Bull $70.00 · Bear $45.00Analysis 2026-10-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $91.60
Why
Momentum34 · Δ7d +8.6
Value66 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -6.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Q2 adjusted EBITDA margin fell 40 basis points year over year to 13.8% amid higher employee costs and unfavorable product mix. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
  • • Reliable analyst-target coverage and direct valuation peers are insufficient for a high-conviction re-rating thesis.
  • • Q2 adjusted EBITDA margin declined despite higher sales, and stoba’s contribution remains unquantified.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

October 29 Q3 results test margin recovery and 2026 guidance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
34
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+8.6
Δ21d
+18.0
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
59
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.7
Δ21d
-18.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 33.9 / Value 66.3 / Sentiment 58.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-22. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$61.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$45.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.1B
Beta
-
Shares Out
36.64M
P/E (TTM)
29.8
P/S (TTM)
0.74
P/FCF (TTM)
19.35
Rev YoY
+5.6%
EPS YoY
-8.0%
Gross Margin
+21.2%
Op Margin
+8.8%
Net Debt
$661M
Current Ratio
1.81
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data