B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PGNY
ProgynyBNasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Record Q2 profitability, gross-margin expansion, strong member engagement, and favorable selling-season commitments support continued execution. The median analyst target in the packet is $33.73 versus the $26.28 anchor price, but analyst coverage count and revision detail are unavailable.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.
What can break
Open-market insider sales are a secondary monitoring signal, not direct evidence of business performance [#SEC-FORM4-2026-05-20].
Momentum
15
Value
63
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $30.00 · Bull $34.00 · Bear $22.50Analysis 2026-08-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $34.42
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d -4.5
Value63 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment73 · Δ7d -1.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Open-market insider sales are a secondary monitoring signal, not direct evidence of business performance [#SEC-FORM4-2026-05-20].
- • Platform investment may delay EBITDA-margin expansion despite gross-margin improvement.
- • Summer seasonality, client decision timing, employment levels among clients, utilization and mix, and ongoing platform investment could constrain growth or margins.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-06
Q2 results confirmed operating momentum
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
15
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.5
Δ21d
-7.8
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.8
Sentiment
73
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-10.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 15.4 / Value 62.8 / Sentiment 73.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-14. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$22.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.94B
Beta
0.96
Shares Out
76.73M
P/E (TTM)
42.7
P/S (TTM)
1.81
P/FCF (TTM)
11.88
Rev YoY
+5.3%
EPS YoY
+78.9%
Gross Margin
+24.6%
Op Margin
+8.6%
Net Debt
-$282.37M
Current Ratio
2.14
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data