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PERI

Perion NetworkC
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Perion One spend rose 15% year over year in Q2, with reported CTV, DOOH and retail-media spend growth. If that momentum converts into contribution ex-TAC and operating leverage, the current price could understate the recovery.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.2.
What can break
PRN integration and the projected 2027 contribution may fall short; management identifies acquisition execution and customer acceptance as risks. [#PR-2026-08-26]
Momentum
33
Value
51
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.00 · Bull $12.00 · Bear $5.50Analysis 2026-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.00
Why
Momentum33 · Δ7d +7.3
Value51 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +1.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • PRN integration and the projected 2027 contribution may fall short; management identifies acquisition execution and customer acceptance as risks. [#PR-2026-08-26]
  • • Q2 adjusted EBITDA and operating cash flow deteriorated year over year, leaving the second-half margin ramp unproven. [#PR-2026-08-10]
  • • Q2 revenue declined 5%, adjusted EBITDA fell year over year, and operating cash flow declined to $2.5 million from $21.3 million.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Second-half growth must support narrowed 2026 guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
33
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.3
Δ21d
+6.7
Value
51
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.2
Δ21d
-9.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 33.0 / Value 51.4 / Sentiment 58.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$9.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$340.6M
Beta
1.50
Shares Out
39.33M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-46.0
P/S (TTM)
0.90
P/FCF (TTM)
19.79
Rev YoY
-4.6%
EPS YoY
+121.2%
Gross Margin
+29.4%
Op Margin
-4.0%
Net Debt
-$291.72M
Current Ratio
2.53
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data