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PERI

Perion NetworkA
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 showed strong adoption in CTV, DOOH, Retail Media, and Outmax, while management says structural cost reductions and recently signed agreements can create second-half operating leverage. The stock also trades below the packet’s uncounted $13 median analyst target, although that target is a weak valuation anchor because analyst coverage count is unavailable.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +14.3.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA declined to $2.8 million from $7.1 million, and operating cash flow declined to $2.5 million from $21.3 million.
Momentum
21
Value
52
Sentiment
84
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $10.50 · Bull $12.50 · Bear $7.50Analysis 2026-08-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.00
Why
Momentum21 · Δ7d -19.0
Value52 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment84 · Δ7d +14.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +14.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adjusted EBITDA declined to $2.8 million from $7.1 million, and operating cash flow declined to $2.5 million from $21.3 million.
  • • Analyst target count and post-print estimate or target revisions are unavailable, limiting confidence in valuation and market-consensus interpretation.
  • • The reported earnings mix remains fragile: revenue fell 5% year over year, contribution ex-TAC fell 11%, adjusted EBITDA fell 61%, operating cash flow fell 88%, and FY2026 guidance was narrowed.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-30

Ongoing share repurchases provide limited downside support

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
21
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-19.0
Δ21d
-32.6
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.4
Sentiment
84
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.3
Δ21d
+12.7
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 20.6 / Value 51.6 / Sentiment 84.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
28%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
47%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$380.72M
Beta
1.50
Shares Out
39.33M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-51.4
P/S (TTM)
0.90
P/FCF (TTM)
19.79
Rev YoY
-4.6%
EPS YoY
+121.2%
Gross Margin
+29.4%
Op Margin
-4.0%
Net Debt
-$291.72M
Current Ratio
2.53
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data