B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PEP
PepsiCoCNasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q3 organic growth accelerated from Q2’s 2.4% to 3.1%; international growth and North American snack share gains could support a recovery if productivity funds investment without prolonged core-margin pressure. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-08] [#SEC-8K-2026-07-09]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.1.
What can break
FY2026 core EPS growth guidance was cut to 2.5%-3.5% from the low end of 5%-7%; a further Q4 miss remains possible. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-08]
Momentum
48
Value
51
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $136.00 · Bull $150.00 · Bear $112.00Analysis 2026-10-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-27
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $139.47
Why
Momentum48 · Δ7d +9.1
Value51 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -3.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • FY2026 core EPS growth guidance was cut to 2.5%-3.5% from the low end of 5%-7%; a further Q4 miss remains possible. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-08]
- • North American beverage execution and the snack pricing/volume balance remain unproven despite sequential snack improvement. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-08]
- • The FY2026 core EPS growth cut, 35-basis-point Q3 core-margin contraction and weak North American beverage performance challenge the recovery thesis.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-31
Q3 beat offset by a substantial FY2026 profit-outlook cut
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
48
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.1
Δ21d
+13.0
Value
51
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
59
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.1
Δ21d
-27.0
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 47.8 / Value 50.8 / Sentiment 59.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-13. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$136.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$181.93B
Beta
0.41
Shares Out
1.36B
P/E (TTM)
26.6
P/S (TTM)
2.07
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
124.41
Rev YoY
+6.4%
EPS YoY
+136.7%
Gross Margin
+54.0%
Op Margin
+15.5%
Net Debt
$43.5B
Current Ratio
0.93
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data