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PENG

Penguin SolutionsB
Nasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Fiscal Q4 sales rose 68% year over year to $567 million and non-GAAP EPS reached $1.00; the company raised fiscal 2027 expectations on AI Infrastructure momentum. Rosenblatt reportedly raised its target to $100 from $80 after the print.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-28.
What can break
Fiscal 2027 guidance depends on converting AI-infrastructure wins into timely, profitable deployments. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-06]
Momentum
98
Value
50
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $64.00 · Bull $82.00 · Bear $42.00Analysis 2026-10-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $85.63
Why
Momentum98 · Δ7d -2.2
Value50 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment63 · Δ7d -4.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-28.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Fiscal 2027 guidance depends on converting AI-infrastructure wins into timely, profitable deployments. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-06]
  • • Memory pricing, customer mix and component availability could pressure gross margins despite recent supply arrangements. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-06] Company earnings exhibit
  • • The initial rally reversed sharply, and customer deployments, memory pricing and gross-margin durability remain unproven.

Catalyst clock

2027-01-31

Raised fiscal 2027 outlook faces an execution test

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
98
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.2
Δ21d
+1.9
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.3
Sentiment
63
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.4
Δ21d
+15.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 97.8 / Value 49.7 / Sentiment 63.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$64.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$3.55B
Beta
2.23
Shares Out
60.24M
P/E (TTM)
73.2
P/S (TTM)
0.81
P/FCF (TTM)
11.79
Rev YoY
+47.6%
EPS YoY
-9752.9%
Gross Margin
+27.9%
Op Margin
+8.1%
Net Debt
$279.28M
Current Ratio
1.54
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data