B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
PCYO
Pure CycleDNasdaq / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Successful permitting or asset sales accelerate cash flows and reduce development risk, supporting a re-rating toward mid-teens per-share levels.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Adverse analyst/consensus revisions
Momentum
13
Value
41
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $10.90 · Bull $16.00 · Bear $6.55Analysis 2026-01-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum13 · Δ7d -
Value41 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment48 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adverse analyst/consensus revisions
- • Execution/capex overruns on projects
- • Permitting delays, financing shortfalls, or weak parcel demand compress valuation toward low-single-digit/low-teen outcomes and keep the share below the anchor.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-08
Quarterly/Annual Results (near-term)
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
13
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
41
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
48
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 13.5 / Value 40.8 / Sentiment 48.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$10.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$6.55
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$271.58M
Beta
1.34
Shares Out
24.1M
P/E (TTM)
19.9
P/S (TTM)
9.99
P/FCF (TTM)
91.81
Rev YoY
+60.0%
EPS YoY
+30.6%
Gross Margin
+59.8%
Op Margin
+37.7%
Net Debt
-$15.13M
Current Ratio
1.53
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data