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PCG

PG&EC
NYSE / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Reaffirmed 2026–27 core EPS guidance, cost-reduction progress and a strategic review could support a recovery if financing and wildfire-liability concerns ease. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.
What can break
CPUC decisions, undergrounding costs and recovery could impair returns or customer affordability. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]
Momentum
13
Value
58
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $13.25 · Bull $16.50 · Bear $10.00Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $18.10
Why
Momentum13 · Δ7d +0.3
Value58 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -37.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • CPUC decisions, undergrounding costs and recovery could impair returns or customer affordability. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]
  • • California wildfire liability and uncertainty over a durable liability framework. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]
  • • The Q3 EPS miss, revenue shortfall, lower CPUC return on equity, Wildfire Fund expense and deferred capital investment weaken the near-term case.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-22

Q3 miss versus reaffirmed guidance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
13
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+8.7
Value
58
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-37.2
Δ21d
-37.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 12.8 / Value 58.2 / Sentiment 54.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$16.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$13.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$27.82B
Beta
0.36
Shares Out
2.2B
P/E (TTM)
13.8
P/S (TTM)
1.43
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-6.08
Rev YoY
+0.1%
EPS YoY
+40.1%
Gross Margin
+20.1%
Op Margin
+20.1%
Net Debt
$60.36B
Current Ratio
1.22
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data