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PATK

Patrick IndustriesB
Nasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The LCI merger could create meaningful scale and strategic benefits, while several insiders made open-market purchases in May 2026 [#SEC-FORM4-2026-05-06]. PATK's $84.69 anchor price is below the available $114.90 median target, but target coverage count is unavailable.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.1.
What can break
Forward visibility into demand, margins, cash flow, and end-market recovery is limited in the available evidence.
Momentum
31
Value
58
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $86.00 · Bull $110.00 · Bear $72.00Analysis 2026-07-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $108.00
Why
Momentum31 · Δ7d +11.1
Value58 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d +12.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Forward visibility into demand, margins, cash flow, and end-market recovery is limited in the available evidence.
  • • Merger completion depends on SEC registration and proxy/prospectus filings and required approvals [#SEC-8K-2026-06-30].
  • • The near-term setup is vulnerable to a weak Q2 print or cautious commentary because the stored preview described declining expected EPS and revenue and materially lower recent estimates.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

Q2 2026 earnings release scheduled for July 30

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
31
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.1
Δ21d
+8.6
Value
58
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.1
Δ21d
+15.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 30.6 / Value 57.6 / Sentiment 77.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-28. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
15%
Probability
Target price
$110.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$86.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
40%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.72B
Beta
1.33
Shares Out
32.12M
P/E (TTM)
31.7
P/S (TTM)
0.95
P/FCF (TTM)
23.38
Rev YoY
-0.6%
EPS YoY
+33.3%
Gross Margin
+20.6%
Op Margin
+7.0%
Net Debt
$1.47B
Current Ratio
2.67
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data