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PAGP

Plains GPC
Nasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 crude-oil adjusted EBITDA increased 19% year over year, total attributable EBITDA rose 10%, leverage returned near the low end of the target range, and growth capital was increased for Cactus III and Permian projects. The roughly 7% annualized distribution yield adds support.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.4.
What can break
Consensus earnings surprise, analyst revisions, and target changes are unavailable for this T+1 follow-up.
Momentum
68
Value
56
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $25.00 · Bull $28.00 · Bear $21.50Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $25.46
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d +5.6
Value56 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -2.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Consensus earnings surprise, analyst revisions, and target changes are unavailable for this T+1 follow-up.
  • • Growth-capital expansion and Cactus III capacity execution must translate into sustained cash-flow growth.
  • • Reported GAAP earnings were heavily boosted by the Canadian NGL sale, while NGL EBITDA fell 54% year over year.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-07

Q2 results show solid operating execution and deleveraging

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
68
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+5.6
Δ21d
+2.4
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
58
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.4
Δ21d
-4.4
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 68.2 / Value 56.1 / Sentiment 57.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$25.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$21.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$19.65B
Beta
0.54
Shares Out
197.9M
P/E (TTM)
28.5
P/S (TTM)
0.08
P/FCF (TTM)
2.01
Rev YoY
+65.5%
EPS YoY
+1196.8%
Gross Margin
+3.5%
Op Margin
+2.8%
Net Debt
$11.16B
Current Ratio
1.12
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data