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PACS

PACS GroupD
NYSE / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 operating gains and raised guidance provide evidence that PACS can improve acquired facilities while expanding its footprint. Successful Florida and Eduro integration could extend that growth.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
Florida closing remains conditional; acquisition and lease economics have not yet been demonstrated in PACS results. [#IR-2026-09-01]
Momentum
79
Value
58
Sentiment
36
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $41.00 · Bull $50.00 · Bear $30.00Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $59.00
Why
Momentum79 · Δ7d +13.2
Value58 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment36 · Δ7d -0.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Florida closing remains conditional; acquisition and lease economics have not yet been demonstrated in PACS results. [#IR-2026-09-01]
  • • PACS disclosed a chief legal officer transition effective September 2026; the filing does not establish an operating impact. [#8-K-2026-09-21]
  • • Rapid acquisition growth increases integration and lease-execution risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Expected Q4 2026 Florida facility closing

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
79
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.2
Δ21d
+31.0
Value
58
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
36
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-17.3
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 79.3 / Value 58.0 / Sentiment 36.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$41.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$7.54B
Beta
-
Shares Out
158.34M
P/E (TTM)
38.5
P/S (TTM)
1.21
P/FCF (TTM)
15.84
Rev YoY
+9.1%
EPS YoY
+53.1%
Gross Margin
+15.4%
Op Margin
+7.4%
Net Debt
$3.37B
Current Ratio
0.91
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data