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PACS

PACS GroupA
NYSE / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Strong Q2 revenue, EBITDA, occupancy, skilled-mix, quality, liquidity, and acquisition metrics support a constructive operating thesis. The stored median analyst target of $57.17 is approximately 29% above the $44.25 anchor price, but analyst-target count and revision detail are unavailable.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.1.
What can break
Acquisition integration, including the planned Eduro facility additions, may dilute execution if ramping performance lags.
Momentum
34
Value
59
Sentiment
80
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $49.00 · Bull $60.00 · Bear $36.00Analysis 2026-08-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $59.00
Why
Momentum34 · Δ7d -1.5
Value59 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment80 · Δ7d +5.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Acquisition integration, including the planned Eduro facility additions, may dilute execution if ramping performance lags.
  • No reliable analyst consensus-surprise, estimate-revision, or post-print price-reaction data is available.
  • The deterministic prior remains neutral, forward-return estimates are modest, and valuation upside depends on sustained portfolio execution.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Q2 earnings execution and 2026 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
34
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-1.5
Δ21d
-58.2
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
80
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.1
Δ21d
+8.4
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 34.4 / Value 59.0 / Sentiment 79.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-21. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$49.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$7.02B
Beta
-
Shares Out
158.34M
P/E (TTM)
38.5
P/S (TTM)
1.21
P/FCF (TTM)
15.84
Rev YoY
+9.1%
EPS YoY
+53.1%
Gross Margin
+15.4%
Op Margin
+7.4%
Net Debt
$3.37B
Current Ratio
0.91
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data