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PAAS

Pan American SilverC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q1 2026 produced $1.154 billion of revenue, $456 million of net earnings, $488 million of attributable free cash flow, 6.44 million ounces of attributable silver, and 169.2 thousand ounces of attributable gold. The stated annual guidance framework, planned shareholder returns, and Timmins expansion pipeline provide fundamental support.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.4.
What can break
Mining costs, grades, production interruptions, permitting, and project-capital execution could weaken guidance delivery.
Momentum
69
Value
65
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $50.00 · Bull $60.00 · Bear $35.00Analysis 2026-08-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $66.05
Why
Momentum69 · Δ7d -3.5
Value65 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment57 · Δ7d +3.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Mining costs, grades, production interruptions, permitting, and project-capital execution could weaken guidance delivery.
  • • Q2 2026 consensus, earnings surprise, guidance revision, and analyst target-change data are unavailable.
  • • The immediate thesis depends on an unreleased Q2 print, with no verified consensus or analyst-revision data.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-12

Q2 2026 earnings release and call

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
69
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-3.5
Δ21d
+15.7
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+5.6
Sentiment
57
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.4
Δ21d
-9.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 68.7 / Value 64.7 / Sentiment 57.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$19.96B
Beta
1.22
Shares Out
414.62M
P/E (TTM)
30.7
P/S (TTM)
6.89
P/FCF (TTM)
37.73
Rev YoY
+38.4%
EPS YoY
+38.2%
Gross Margin
+43.9%
Op Margin
+39.3%
Net Debt
-$467M
Current Ratio
2.94
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data