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PAA

Plains All American PipelineC
Nasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull scenario assumes stronger crude volumes, tighter takeaway differentials, and stable distribution coverage that supports re-rating toward the upper analyst range; execution on operational uptime and favourable seasonal flows lift unit value.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-23.
What can break
Distribution cut or covered distribution due to throughput weakness
Momentum
69
Value
54
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
4 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $21.00 · Bull $25.00 · Bear $16.00Analysis 2026-02-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $26.35
Why
Momentum69 · Δ7d +2.0
Value54 · Δ7d -0.9
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -3.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-23.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Distribution cut or covered distribution due to throughput weakness
  • • Regulatory/permitting delays on key assets
  • • Bear scenario assumes weaker crude throughput, wider differentials, or a distribution cut that reduces yield appeal and pushes targets toward the low analyst range.

Catalyst clock

2026-02-28

Analyst 12-month target refresh / consensus revision

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
69
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
-0.3
Value
54
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.9
Δ21d
-1.7
Sentiment
45
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.5
Δ21d
-17.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 69.2 / Value 54.2 / Sentiment 44.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$25.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$21.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$18.79B
Beta
0.56
Shares Out
705.57M
P/E (TTM)
18.2
P/S (TTM)
0.28
P/FCF (TTM)
13.74
Rev YoY
+65.5%
EPS YoY
+981.1%
Gross Margin
+3.5%
Op Margin
+2.8%
Net Debt
$11.16B
Current Ratio
1.12
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data