B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
OXM
Oxford IndustriesCNYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Tommy Bahama remains a stabilizing brand, adjusted EPS and adjusted gross margin improved year over year, and cash generation supported debt reduction. Lilly's product and marketing issues are described as addressable, creating recovery potential if the assortment reset works [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2027Q2].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.9.
What can break
Coverage is low; analyst revisions, options skew, short interest, employee sentiment and social data are unavailable.
Momentum
29
Value
39
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $33.00 · Bull $40.00 · Bear $25.00Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $34.00
Why
Momentum29 · Δ7d -11.6
Value39 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment72 · Δ7d +2.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Coverage is low; analyst revisions, options skew, short interest, employee sentiment and social data are unavailable.
- • Fiscal 2026 sales and adjusted EPS guidance were reduced to $1.430-$1.470 billion and $1.60-$2.00, respectively, amid Lilly Pulitzer execution issues and macro consumer pressure [#SEC-8K-2026-09-03].
- • The earnings update showed portfolio weakness concentrated in Lilly Pulitzer, lower fiscal 2026 guidance, and increased promotional activity risk.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-09
Post-print guidance reset and Lilly weakness
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
29
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.6
Δ21d
+6.5
Value
39
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-9.5
Sentiment
72
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.9
Δ21d
-9.2
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 29.5 / Value 38.7 / Sentiment 72.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$25.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$545.13M
Beta
1.08
Shares Out
14.93M
P/E (TTM)
10.9
P/S (TTM)
0.35
P/FCF (TTM)
31.71
Rev YoY
-0.4%
EPS YoY
-41.2%
Gross Margin
+57.7%
Op Margin
+0.1%
Net Debt
$555.31M
Current Ratio
1.17
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data