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OTEX

Open TextC
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The constructive case is limited: OpenText has primary-source confirmation of a leadership transition and established SEC reporting coverage, and the packet's median analyst target is above the anchor price. A bull thesis would require later company sources to show improving cloud, retention, margin, cash-flow, or balance-sheet evidence.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Forward visibility is limited because the packet contains primary filings but little extracted operating detail from those filings.
Momentum
74
Value
69
Sentiment
35
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $23.00 · Bull $28.00 · Bear $18.00Analysis 2026-05-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $27.63
Why
Momentum74 · Δ7d +10.4
Value69 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment35 · Δ7d -9.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Forward visibility is limited because the packet contains primary filings but little extracted operating detail from those filings.
  • • Recent trusted-news flow and analyst revision evidence are unavailable in the packet, limiting confirmation of any positive thesis change.
  • • The cautious case is stronger from the supplied evidence.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-31

Latest 10-Q remains the main operating checkpoint [#10-Q-2026-02-05]

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
74
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.4
Δ21d
+37.0
Value
69
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
35
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.5
Δ21d
-31.4
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 73.7 / Value 69.1 / Sentiment 35.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$6.69B
Beta
0.92
Shares Out
242.13M
P/E (TTM)
16.9
P/S (TTM)
1.56
P/FCF (TTM)
12.76
Rev YoY
+2.9%
EPS YoY
+473.4%
Gross Margin
+65.5%
Op Margin
+23.2%
Net Debt
$5.02B
Current Ratio
0.79
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data