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OTEX

Open TextC
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The constructive case is limited: OpenText has primary-source confirmation of a leadership transition and established SEC reporting coverage, and the packet's median analyst target is above the anchor price. A bull thesis would require later company sources to show improving cloud, retention, margin, cash-flow, or balance-sheet evidence.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.1.
What can break
Forward visibility is limited because the packet contains primary filings but little extracted operating detail from those filings.
Momentum
25
Value
70
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $23.00 · Bull $28.00 · Bear $18.00Analysis 2026-05-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $27.51
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d +2.6
Value70 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment63 · Δ7d +8.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Forward visibility is limited because the packet contains primary filings but little extracted operating detail from those filings.
  • • Recent trusted-news flow and analyst revision evidence are unavailable in the packet, limiting confirmation of any positive thesis change.
  • • The cautious case is stronger from the supplied evidence.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-31

Latest 10-Q remains the main operating checkpoint [#10-Q-2026-02-05]

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
25
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.6
Δ21d
-31.0
Value
70
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
63
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.1
Δ21d
+6.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 24.5 / Value 70.2 / Sentiment 63.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.8B
Beta
0.92
Shares Out
242.13M
P/E (TTM)
16.9
P/S (TTM)
1.56
P/FCF (TTM)
12.76
Rev YoY
+2.9%
EPS YoY
+473.4%
Gross Margin
+65.5%
Op Margin
+23.2%
Net Debt
$5.02B
Current Ratio
0.79
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data