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OSW

OneSpaWorldC
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull read is that Q1 showed another record quarter, adjusted EPS beat the AP/Zacks consensus, FY2026 guidance edged up from the February outlook, and same-platform operating drivers included higher revenue days, better guest spend, and new ship contribution [#8-K-2026-04-29].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
What can break
Administrative expenses rose in Q1 due to outsourced management and logistics services tied to restructuring, so margin gains still need to outrun cost-shift effects [#8-K-2026-04-29].
Momentum
66
Value
46
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $25.50 · Bull $28.00 · Bear $20.50Analysis 2026-04-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $31.20
Why
Momentum66 · Δ7d -1.4
Value46 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment60 · Δ7d +1.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Administrative expenses rose in Q1 due to outsourced management and logistics services tied to restructuring, so margin gains still need to outrun cost-shift effects [#8-K-2026-04-29].
  • • Cruise demand softness, cancellations, or weaker onboard spending would pressure the company's core maritime revenue base and could limit delivery against FY2026 guidance [#10-K-2026-02-23].
  • • The bear read is that this remains a T+1 earnings follow-up with limited verified post-print analyst revision data, so the positive initial reaction still needs confirmation from estimate changes and sustained trading.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · BMO

Q1 beat, guidance reaffirmed higher, and positive day-one price reaction

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
66
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.4
Δ21d
+18.7
Value
46
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
-11.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 65.9 / Value 46.3 / Sentiment 60.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$25.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$20.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.42B
Beta
1.02
Shares Out
101.5M
P/E (TTM)
30.6
P/S (TTM)
2.36
P/FCF (TTM)
43.99
Rev YoY
+8.5%
EPS YoY
+17.7%
Gross Margin
+11.8%
Op Margin
+9.5%
Net Debt
$76.86M
Current Ratio
2.91
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data