ORC
Orchid Island CapitalCNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
Q1 operating data were constructive on carry: portfolio interest income increased, average Agency RMBS balances grew, the yield on average Agency RMBS rose to 5.75% from 5.57%, and liquidity remained high at $759.0 million. If mortgage spreads stabilize, that could support dividend capacity and a steadier book-value path, but the packet does not provide a primary-source forward catalyst proving that stabilization.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-23 · AMC.
What can break
Book value can keep eroding if mortgage spreads widen or hedges lag the move.
Momentum
45
Value
63
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $6.25 · Bull $7.45 · Bear $5.85
Earnings
2026-07-23 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $7.50
Why
Momentum45 · Δ7d -0.5
Value63 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment48 · Δ7d -3.5
So what
Balanced signals. Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
45
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
+1.0
Value
63
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Sentiment
48
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.5
Δ21d
-0.4
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 44.8 / Value 63.3 / Sentiment 48.1
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$1.37B
Beta
1.68
Shares Out
200.7M
P/E (TTM)
15.2
P/S (TTM)
3.71
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-13.87
Rev YoY
+97.9%
EPS YoY
-158.6%
Gross Margin
+96.8%
Op Margin
+17.2%
Net Debt
$9.38B
Current Ratio
0.09
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology