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ORC

Orchid Island CapitalC
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
View Chart
Current thesis
Q1 operating data were constructive on carry: portfolio interest income increased, average Agency RMBS balances grew, the yield on average Agency RMBS rose to 5.75% from 5.57%, and liquidity remained high at $759.0 million. If mortgage spreads stabilize, that could support dividend capacity and a steadier book-value path, but the packet does not provide a primary-source forward catalyst proving that stabilization.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.0.
What can break
Book value can keep eroding if mortgage spreads widen or hedges lag the move.
Momentum
45
Value
73
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.25 · Bull $7.45 · Bear $5.85
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-05-29 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.50
Why
Momentum45 · Δ7d -0.5
Value73 · Δ7d +10.0
Sentiment49 · Δ7d +2.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
45
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
+4.1
Value
73
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.0
Δ21d
+10.1
Sentiment
49
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.9
Δ21d
+12.3
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 44.7 / Value 72.9 / Sentiment 49.2

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-05-29
Market Cap
$1.36B
Beta
1.68
Shares Out
179.06M
P/E (TTM)
15.2
P/S (TTM)
3.71
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-13.54
Rev YoY
+78.9%
EPS YoY
+120.9%
Gross Margin
+19.3%
Op Margin
+17.2%
Net Debt
$4.72B
Current Ratio
-
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology