B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$130.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
OPY
OppenheimerCNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q1 showed strong fee and capital-markets activity, with revenue up 21.0% and adjusted net income up 65.9%. The resolved litigation charge creates a cleaner comparison base, although recurring stock-linked compensation remains a variable.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.2.
What can break
Market-sensitive commissions, trading, investment banking, and advisory fees may weaken if volatility or deal activity falls.
Momentum
79
Value
61
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $108.00 · Bull $130.00 · Bear $88.00Analysis 2026-07-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum79 · Δ7d +6.8
Value61 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -2.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Market-sensitive commissions, trading, investment banking, and advisory fees may weaken if volatility or deal activity falls.
- • No consensus surprise, analyst revision, target change, or attributed post-print price reaction is available.
- • Reported Q1 earnings were a net loss because of legal and compensation charges.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-27
Q2 earnings follow-up remains unverified
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
79
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.8
Δ21d
+11.9
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
53
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.2
Δ21d
-6.3
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 79.3 / Value 61.3 / Sentiment 52.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$108.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$88.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.25B
Beta
1.18
Shares Out
10.71M
P/E (TTM)
9.9
P/S (TTM)
0.51
P/FCF (TTM)
10.88
Rev YoY
+21.9%
EPS YoY
+24.7%
Gross Margin
+96.4%
Op Margin
+12.9%
Net Debt
$1.21B
Current Ratio
1.17
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data