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ONEG

OneConstruction GroupC
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Legacy loss-making projects are substantially completed, according to the filing. If replacement work converts at positive margins, the FY2026 gross loss could prove temporary.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Cash was $1.7 million and equity $0.3 million at March 31, 2026; future financing could dilute holders. [#SEC-20F-2026-07-23]
Momentum
100
Value
50
Sentiment
43
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.72 · Bull $1.20 · Bear $0.40Analysis 2026-10-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum100 · Δ7d -
Value50 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment43 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cash was $1.7 million and equity $0.3 million at March 31, 2026; future financing could dilute holders. [#SEC-20F-2026-07-23]
  • • FY2026 project cost overruns and final-account adjustments produced a $7.1 million gross loss. [#SEC-20F-2026-07-23]
  • • The sharp decline in remaining contracted performance obligations, extreme project concentration, cost overruns and thin equity leave little room for further execution errors.

Catalyst clock

2027-01-31

Project-margin recovery remains unproven

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
100
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
43
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 99.9 / Value 50.0 / Sentiment 42.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$1.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$0.72
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$0.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$12.8M
Beta
-
Shares Out
16M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-7.4
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
-
EPS YoY
-
Gross Margin
-14.4%
Op Margin
-26.6%
Net Debt
$2.77M
Current Ratio
2.54
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data