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OMEX

Odyssey Marine ExplorationD
Nasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
If the AOM transaction advances from approved mechanics to an effective S-4 and visible closing path, OMEX could re-rate on improved funding capacity and a broader critical-minerals platform rather than on its stand-alone liquidity profile [#10-Q-2026-05-12][#8-K-2026-06-03].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Approved reverse split and increased share authorization reduce execution friction for the deal but also keep dilution sensitivity elevated for existing holders [#8-K-2026-06-03].
Momentum
99
Value
33
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.62 · Bull $1.15 · Bear $0.30Analysis 2026-07-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum99 · Δ7d -
Value33 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment49 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Approved reverse split and increased share authorization reduce execution friction for the deal but also keep dilution sensitivity elevated for existing holders [#8-K-2026-06-03].
  • March 31, 2026 cash of $2.1 million versus $3.5 million at year-end highlights continuing stand-alone liquidity pressure [#10-Q-2026-05-12].
  • If the merger timeline slips or fails, the latest filing evidence points back to a low-cash micro-cap with long-dated regulatory and project milestones, making dilution or additional financing pressure the more immediate driver than operating execution [#10-Q-2026-05-12].

Catalyst clock

2026-08-31

June vote cleared reverse-split and share-authorisation mechanics

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
99
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
33
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
49
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 99.0 / Value 32.6 / Sentiment 48.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.15
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$0.62
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$0.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$50.24M
Beta
-0.84
Shares Out
58.69M
P/E (TTM)
20.7
P/S (TTM)
261.31
P/FCF (TTM)
218.76
Rev YoY
-42.3%
EPS YoY
-67.1%
Gross Margin
-1501.9%
Op Margin
-11370.2%
Net Debt
$1.48M
Current Ratio
0.12
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data