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OMC

Omnicom GroupB
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Primary sources show tangible self-help: $900 million of 2026 savings, a $1.5 billion 30-month synergy target, and a large 2026 buyback plan can lift EBITA, EPS, and per-share value if integration execution is clean [#8-K-2026-03-12].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.7.
What can break
Advertising-spend softness could offset the 2026 revenue-growth framework and reduce operating leverage.
Momentum
65
Value
62
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $80.00 · Bull $90.00 · Bear $68.00Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $99.62
Why
Momentum65 · Δ7d -0.5
Value62 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +12.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Advertising-spend softness could offset the 2026 revenue-growth framework and reduce operating leverage.
  • • Integration and client-retention risk from the Interpublic combination could dilute or delay the planned $1.5 billion synergy capture.
  • • This is now an execution story, not a simple cyclical recovery.

Catalyst clock

2026-06-30

2026 buyback execution from the new $5 billion authorization

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
65
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
+0.7
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+2.8
Sentiment
65
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.7
Δ21d
+9.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 65.4 / Value 61.8 / Sentiment 65.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$90.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$80.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$23.45B
Beta
0.76
Shares Out
274.35M
P/E (TTM)
11.6
P/S (TTM)
1.53
P/FCF (TTM)
22.06
Rev YoY
+63.4%
EPS YoY
+58.3%
Gross Margin
+17.0%
Op Margin
+14.3%
Net Debt
$4.28B
Current Ratio
0.92
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data