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OKLO

OkloC
NYSE / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that the quarter did not break the core optionality thesis: Oklo still has substantial liquidity for a pre-revenue nuclear developer, continuing development scope across Aurora and fuel activities, and a longer-term radioisotope angle.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-11.
What can break
A new up-to-$1.0 billion ATM program raises dilution and financing-overhang risk even with strong current liquidity.
Momentum
10
Value
35
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $68.00 · Bull $105.00 · Bear $36.00Analysis 2026-05-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $75.03
Why
Momentum10 · Δ7d +1.7
Value35 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bearish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-11.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A new up-to-$1.0 billion ATM program raises dilution and financing-overhang risk even with strong current liquidity.
  • • Fuel availability, supply-chain execution, and commercialization of power purchase arrangements remain critical dependencies called out in company risk disclosures.
  • • The bear case is that Q1 reinforced the weakest part of the story: no revenue, sharply higher operating spend, timeline risk embedded across licensing, construction, fuel, and commercialization, plus a fresh $1 billion ATM that signals continuing dependence on equity markets as projects advance.

Catalyst clock

2026-06-30

Post-earnings reset and new ATM overhang

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
10
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.7
Δ21d
+6.2
Value
35
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 10.3 / Value 34.7 / Sentiment 73.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$105.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
0%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$8.16B
Beta
0.77
Shares Out
186.02M
P/E (TTM)
21.3
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-26.56
Rev YoY
-
EPS YoY
+56.3%
Gross Margin
-23.5%
Op Margin
-
Net Debt
-$1.23B
Current Ratio
48.46
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data