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OKE

ONEOKC
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case: sustained recovery in gas/NGL prices, steady contract renewals and stronger-than-expected fee-based EBITDA that push valuation toward the analyst high; continued dividend increases support total return.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Dividend pressure from cashflow shortfalls
Momentum
51
Value
49
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $82.00 · Bull $110.00 · Bear $72.00Analysis 2026-01-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $101.06
Why
Momentum51 · Δ7d +9.8
Value49 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment59 · Δ7d +3.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Dividend pressure from cashflow shortfalls
  • • Major throughput/contract losses or project delays
  • • Bear case: weaker commodity demand, major throughput/contract losses or regulatory setbacks that compress multiple and pressure the dividend, driving price toward the analyst low.

Catalyst clock

2026-02-13

Quarterly dividend payable (declared)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
51
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.8
Δ21d
-3.1
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+3.5
Sentiment
59
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.2
Δ21d
+1.6
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 50.6 / Value 48.5 / Sentiment 59.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$110.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$60.09B
Beta
0.93
Shares Out
630.37M
P/E (TTM)
13.6
P/S (TTM)
1.47
P/FCF (TTM)
114.15
Rev YoY
+56.3%
EPS YoY
+14.2%
Gross Margin
+17.2%
Op Margin
+16.1%
Net Debt
$32.98B
Current Ratio
0.74
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data