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OKE

ONEOKD
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case: sustained recovery in gas/NGL prices, steady contract renewals and stronger-than-expected fee-based EBITDA that push valuation toward the analyst high; continued dividend increases support total return.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26 · AMC.
What can break
Dividend pressure from cashflow shortfalls
Momentum
45
Value
48
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $82.00 · Bull $110.00 · Bear $72.00Analysis 2026-01-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
41 · Non-qualifying
Next 2026-10-26 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Earnings Setup
As of 2026-10-26 • RankAlpha AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $101.26
Why
Momentum45 · Δ7d +16.8
Value48 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -2.4
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Earnings surprise screen
41Non-qualifying2026-10-27 amc
View setup

ONEOK’s pre-event price action was constructive, but available estimate evidence indicated downward EPS revisions, while recent trading volume did not clear the required 1.5x threshold. The company’s official schedule also places the release on Oct. 27 rather than the supplied universe’s Oct. 26 date.

Screen as of 2026-10-26. Window 2026-10-26 to 2026-10-30.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26 · AMC.
  • • Pre-earnings setup: 41 / non-qualifying.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Dividend pressure from cashflow shortfalls
  • • Major throughput/contract losses or project delays
  • • Bear case: weaker commodity demand, major throughput/contract losses or regulatory setbacks that compress multiple and pressure the dividend, driving price toward the analyst low.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-26 · AMC

Quarterly dividend payable (declared)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
45
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+16.8
Δ21d
+15.5
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.4
Δ21d
-15.9
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 45.3 / Value 47.6 / Sentiment 52.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$110.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$60.41B
Beta
0.93
Shares Out
630.41M
P/E (TTM)
13.6
P/S (TTM)
1.47
P/FCF (TTM)
114.15
Rev YoY
+56.3%
EPS YoY
+14.2%
Gross Margin
+17.2%
Op Margin
+16.1%
Net Debt
$32.98B
Current Ratio
0.74
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data