RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

OGE

OGE EnergyD
NYSE / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
If the capital program executes within guidance, regulators grant favorable returns, and load growth remains steady, shares can approach the low-$50s; dividend stability and modest margin expansion would support a multiple re-rating.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.
What can break
Adverse regulatory rate-case ruling
Momentum
46
Value
53
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $46.84 · Bull $53.87 · Bear $39.81Analysis 2026-02-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $52.00
Why
Momentum46 · Δ7d +5.8
Value53 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment53 · Δ7d +0.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adverse regulatory rate-case ruling
  • • Lower-than-expected electricity demand or weather-driven weakness
  • • Unfavorable rate-case rulings, higher financing costs, or sustained demand weakness would compress allowed returns and push shares toward the high-$30s.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-20

Quarterly dividend announcement

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
46
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.8
Δ21d
+23.6
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
53
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
+1.7
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 46.5 / Value 52.8 / Sentiment 53.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-19. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
15%
Probability
Target price
$53.87
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
70%
Probability
Target price
$46.84
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$39.81
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$9.78B
Beta
0.61
Shares Out
206.58M
P/E (TTM)
16.9
P/S (TTM)
2.70
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-138.21
Rev YoY
-4.0%
EPS YoY
+5.2%
Gross Margin
+44.8%
Op Margin
+24.2%
Net Debt
$5.69B
Current Ratio
0.77
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data