B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ODD
ODDITY TechFNasdaq / Household & Personal Products
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
CPA normalization, sequential recovery, positive full-year Adjusted EBITDA, METHODIQ progress, and $667.4 million of cash, cash equivalents, and investments could support a recovery. [#IR-2026-06-02]
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-11.
What can break
Customer-acquisition costs may remain elevated, impairing revenue, repeat purchases, and marketing efficiency. [#IR-2026-06-02]
Momentum
25
Value
46
Sentiment
15
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $11.10 · Bull $15.00 · Bear $8.50Analysis 2026-08-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $14.93
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d +12.0
Value46 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment15 · Δ7d -26.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-11.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Customer-acquisition costs may remain elevated, impairing revenue, repeat purchases, and marketing efficiency. [#IR-2026-06-02]
- • Gross margin fell to 69.7% from 74.9% because of product and brand mix, lower average order value, and remediation activity. [#IR-2026-06-02]
- • Q1 revenue fell 26%, Adjusted EBITDA was negative $7.0 million, free cash flow was negative $21.1 million, and management warned that lost first orders would weigh on repeat business.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-09
Q2 2026 results and outlook
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
25
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.0
Δ21d
+20.1
Value
46
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-8.2
Sentiment
15
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-26.5
Δ21d
-28.2
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 25.0 / Value 45.6 / Sentiment 15.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-11. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$11.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$557.65M
Beta
-
Shares Out
46.12M
P/E (TTM)
21.6
P/S (TTM)
2.84
P/FCF (TTM)
23.62
Rev YoY
-26.2%
EPS YoY
-160.5%
Gross Margin
+71.1%
Op Margin
+6.8%
Net Debt
$194.38M
Current Ratio
4.06
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data