B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ODD
ODDITY TechFNasdaq / Household & Personal Products
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
CPA normalization, sequential recovery, positive full-year Adjusted EBITDA, METHODIQ progress, and $667.4 million of cash, cash equivalents, and investments could support a recovery. [#IR-2026-06-02]
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
What can break
Customer-acquisition costs may remain elevated, impairing revenue, repeat purchases, and marketing efficiency. [#IR-2026-06-02]
Momentum
97
Value
40
Sentiment
4
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $11.10 · Bull $15.00 · Bear $8.50Analysis 2026-08-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-27
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $16.06
Why
Momentum97 · Δ7d -1.3
Value40 · Δ7d +0.9
Sentiment4 · Δ7d +1.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Customer-acquisition costs may remain elevated, impairing revenue, repeat purchases, and marketing efficiency. [#IR-2026-06-02]
- • Gross margin fell to 69.7% from 74.9% because of product and brand mix, lower average order value, and remediation activity. [#IR-2026-06-02]
- • Q1 revenue fell 26%, Adjusted EBITDA was negative $7.0 million, free cash flow was negative $21.1 million, and management warned that lost first orders would weigh on repeat business.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-09
Q2 2026 results and outlook
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
97
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
+1.5
Value
40
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.9
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
4
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
-10.1
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 97.0 / Value 40.4 / Sentiment 4.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-11. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$11.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$995.83M
Beta
-
Shares Out
46.12M
P/E (TTM)
21.6
P/S (TTM)
2.84
P/FCF (TTM)
23.62
Rev YoY
-26.2%
EPS YoY
-160.5%
Gross Margin
+71.1%
Op Margin
+6.8%
Net Debt
$194.38M
Current Ratio
4.06
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data