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OCTV

Octave IntelligenceA
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
ARR, SaaS growth, recurring revenue, and free cash flow show operating momentum, while CoLabs and agentic capabilities could support a future re-rating. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-12]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
$2.135 billion of non-cash impairment charges, including goodwill and trademark impairments.
Momentum
91
Value
59
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $19.00 · Bull $24.00 · Bear $15.50Analysis 2026-08-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-13 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-08-13 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-08-13

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-08-13. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $23.07
Why
Momentum91 · Δ7d +23.4
Value59 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment66 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • $2.135 billion of non-cash impairment charges, including goodwill and trademark impairments.
  • • Adjusted operating-margin compression and execution risk during the SaaS transition.
  • • Reported revenue declined, adjusted margin compressed, full-year organic revenue growth guidance is only 0–2%, and the company carries $644 million of debt against $304 million of cash.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-12

Mixed Q2 2026 earnings print

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
91
10% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+23.4
Δ21d
+78.2
Value
59
40% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
66
49% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 91.1 / Value 59.1 / Sentiment 66.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$15.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-13
Market Cap
$5.07B
Beta
-
Shares Out
268.44M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
20.5
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
+1.0%
EPS YoY
-20.4%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
-
Net Debt
-$103.62M
Current Ratio
0.98
As of 2026-08-13 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data