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NXT

NextpowerA
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q1 FY27 revenue of $935 million, adjusted EBITDA of $233 million, higher guidance floors, and backlog above $5.5 billion support a constructive execution case if bookings convert and newer products scale. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30] SEC earnings exhibit
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
What can break
FY27 guidance depends on turning backlog into deliveries; the filing excerpt does not establish a conversion schedule.
Momentum
32
Value
60
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $86.00 · Bull $108.00 · Bear $60.00Analysis 2026-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $134.41
Why
Momentum32 · Δ7d +4.4
Value60 · Δ7d +0.8
Sentiment67 · Δ7d -0.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • FY27 guidance depends on turning backlog into deliveries; the filing excerpt does not establish a conversion schedule.
  • • Power-conversion expansion carries approximately $50 million of planned incremental FY27 costs; acquisition integration could add execution risk. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30] SEC earnings exhibit
  • • Backlog may convert more slowly than expected, acquisition integration may absorb margin, and roughly $50 million of planned power-conversion costs are already embedded in outlook.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · AMC

Raised FY27 outlook floor

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
32
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.4
Δ21d
+14.7
Value
60
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
67
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-1.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 31.9 / Value 60.0 / Sentiment 66.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$108.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$86.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$11.6B
Beta
-
Shares Out
151.73M
P/E (TTM)
23.3
P/S (TTM)
3.94
P/FCF (TTM)
22.03
Rev YoY
+8.2%
EPS YoY
+2.3%
Gross Margin
+33.0%
Op Margin
+19.7%
Net Debt
-$1.04B
Current Ratio
2.69
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data